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Thursday, December 2, 2010

Time for Republicans to Deliver - Wall Street Journal

Tuesday's election was epic. Republicans gained over 60 seats in the House and six in the Senate. They'll now occupy eight additional governors' mansions and at least 500 more seats in state legislatures.

The GOP picked up more House seats than in any election since 1938, leaving Democrats with the smallest number in the House since 1946. Republican gains in the Senate are roughly twice the post-World War II midterm average. When Mr. Obama took office there were 22 Republican governors: Now there will be at least 29.

Fifty incumbent Democratic congressmen lost, including 22 freshmen. An extraordinary nine senior Democrats with 18 years or more of service also went down, including three committee chairs: South Carolina's John Spratt, Missouri's Ike Skelton, and Minnesota's Jim Oberstar. Their offense was to back the Obama-Pelosi agenda.

Among the few vulnerable Democrats to survive were those, like Indiana's Joe Donnelly and Pennsylvania's Jason Altmire, who emphasized their opposition to policies like ObamaCare.

Some of the president's closest personal allies lost—including his pick-up basketball buddy, Alexi Giannoulias, who failed to keep the Senate seat formerly held by Mr. Obama. The GOP also beat many candidates whom Mr. Obama stumped for last week, like Virginia Rep. Tom Perriello and Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland. Apparently the president's presence so close to the election reminded undecided voters why they were upset.

Democrats didn't suffer as many losses in the Senate as many predicted. This was largely because Democratic candidates either trumpeted their opposition to Mr. Obama's policies (West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin) or vilified their Republican opponents (Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's final ad called his GOP competitor "pathological").

Karl Rove served as Senior Advisor to President George W. Bush from 2000–2007 and Deputy Chief of Staff from 2004–2007. At the White House he oversaw the Offices of Strategic Initiatives, Political Affairs, Public Liaison, and Intergovernmental Affairs and was Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy, coordinating the White House policy-making process.

Before Karl became known as "The Architect" of President Bush's 2000 and 2004 campaigns, he was president of Karl Rove + Company, an Austin-based public affairs firm that worked for Republican candidates, nonpartisan causes, and nonprofit groups. His clients included over 75 Republican U.S. Senate, Congressional and gubernatorial candidates in 24 states, as well as the Moderate Party of Sweden.

Karl writes a weekly op-ed for the Wall Street Journal, is a Newsweek columnist and is the author of the book "Courage and Consequence" (Threshold Editions).

Email the author atKarl@Rove.comor visit him on the web atRove.com. Or, you can send a Tweet to @karlrove.

And Democratic losses could get worse in the next election. In 2012, three times as many Senate Democrats as Republicans face the voters—and many are from red states. Two more years of voting for the Obama agenda could do many of them in.

The public's deep dissatisfaction with the failed stimulus bill, uncontrolled spending and sweeping health-care reform gave rise to the tea party movement. This phenomenon provoked as much as an 8% increase in turnout, according to George Mason University Prof. Michael McDonald, who estimates turnout at around 90 million, up from 82 million in the 2006 midterm. Independents went 55% for the GOP, an 11-percentage-point gain from 2008 and a 16-point jump from the last midterm.

rove1104Associated Press Would-be House Majority Leader John Boehner

The damage to the White House and the Democratic Party is severe and will be long-lasting. On the eve of redistricting, the GOP controls more state legislative seats and chambers than it has since the 1920s.

In Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, North Carolina, Alabama, Wisconsin and Minnesota, Republicans gained control of both legislative houses and will dominate redistricting, adding to the number of states where the GOP will draw lines that will boost their numbers in the House for the next decade. In other states like Colorado, Republicans gained a seat at the table by winning at least one chamber.

Tuesday's results mean Mr. Obama no longer has the luxury of jamming through legislation solely with his party's support. A week after saying it was "time to punish our enemies," the president will have to find ways to reach common ground with them. In yesterday's press conference, the president mentioned earmarks and energy policy as two places to start.

Republicans must not delude themselves: The voters didn't throw out the Democrats because they are enraptured with the GOP. The polling data suggest that many voters, while warming to the party, still remain nervous about it. Republicans are on probation. And whether they get off of it depends on whether they do what they said they would on the campaign trail.

Voters want Republicans to press for reform—regardless of the obstacles placed in their way by Mr. Obama. They understand Mr. Obama is president for two more years and retains the veto, but they will insist Republicans at least fight for change.

Republicans should be willing to compromise on details. Ronald Reagan was right when he said, "I'd rather get 80% of what I want than to go over the cliff with my flag flying." But voters will not tolerate compromise on fundamental principles.

Americans clearly want the new Congress to focus on economic growth and creating jobs in the private sector. Real spending reductions, an extension of the Bush tax cuts, ending earmarks, using the returns from the bailouts to reduce the debt, and turning Fannie and Freddie into private companies should all be at the top of the GOP's agenda.

Republicans must also tackle ObamaCare. They must try to repeal or defund it. But they should also present conservative alternatives—such as permitting Americans to buy health insurance across state lines, allowing small businesses to pool their risk to get the same discounts that big businesses get, giving the tax advantage of having insurance to the individual as well as the employer, and passing medical-liability reform to end junk lawsuits.

The GOP should also take up entitlement reform. Voters will not judge them to be fiscally serious if they avoid the issue.

All of this needs to be advanced by a party that is seen as hopeful and optimistic about America while remaining humble about itself. The next speaker of the House, John Boehner, hit just the right notes on Tuesday night.

President Obama brought on the worst thumping a party has received since the middle of the 20th century by offending America's conservative instincts. The public has spoken. Now it's up to the Republicans to deliver.

Mr. Rove is the former senior adviser and deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush.


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Microsoft Projects Huge 4Q Sales Surge for Kinect - PC Magazine

Microsoft said Wednesday that the company expects fourth-quarter sales of its Kinect motion controller to be 66 percent higher than previously expected.

In an interview with Bloomberg, Don Mattrick, president of Microsoft's Interactive Entertainment Business, reported that Microsoft expects fourth-quarter Kinect sales to total five million units, versus an earlier sales projection of three million units.

Kinect goes on sale on Thursday. As a standalone product, Kinect costs $149.99. A bundle that includes an Xbox 360 250GB and the game "Kinect Adventures" is also available for $399.99. Sales of the bundle have already been popular and were a top 40 purchase on Amazon.com last week.

Last week, Microsoft revealed 17 Kinect-enabled games for Xbox. on the Nov. 4 launch, games like "Kinect Joy Ride," "Sonic Free Rider," and the "Biggest Loser Ultimate Workout" will go on sale. Five more games such as "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1" and "EA Sports Active 2" will be released throughout November and December.

Kinect will launch in Europe on Nov. 10, in Australia on Nov. 18, and in Japan on the 20th.

Microsoft's projects far exceed the IDC/GamePro survey data published this week. IDC and a survey of 750 gamers by GamePro predicted that U.S. consumers will buy between 2.5 million and 3.0 million Kinect for the Xbox 360 sensors this holiday season, versus sales of between 2.0 million to 2.5 million sensors for the rival PlayStation Move.

PCMag.com will review the Microsoft Kinect in the near future.


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In Social Media Election, The GOP Capitalizes - NPR

1_Nevada_Senate.sff.jpg Enlarge Associated Press

Jerry Tarkanian, center, who lost his primary bid to Republican Senate candidate Sharron Angle, looks at voting returns with Party workers as the race is called for Angle's opponent Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid at an election night party Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2010, in Las Vegas.

1_Nevada_Senate.sff.jpg Associated Press Jerry Tarkanian, center, who lost his primary bid to Republican Senate candidate Sharron Angle, looks at voting returns with Party workers as the race is called for Angle's opponent Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid at an election night party Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2010, in Las Vegas.

NEW YORK November 3, 2010, 06:47 pm ET

In the final minutes of one of the most watched and fiercely contested races of Tuesday's midterm elections, the campaigns of both Sen. Harry Reid and the Republican challenger to his Nevada Senate seat, Sharron Angle, were working social media.

"Thirty-five minutes to go-every vote is needed!" read Angle's Facebook page shortly before polls closed. "You, your neighbor, your mother-in-law ... GET OUT & vote, NV!"

Reid, who was also exhorting his followers to relay his messages online, ultimately prevailed. But the postings showed that at the most crucial moments in the 2010 election, social media was in the thick of it.

For an entity that effectively didn't exist just years ago, social media has rapidly flourished as a political force.

"This is the election when it became more deeply embedded in the rhythms of campaigning," says Lee Rainie, director of the Pew Internet and American Life Project. "It's not so much that as a single thing it influences people's votes but that it's now so inextricably a part of the political communication landscape."

The 2010 elections may also have been when Republicans truly embraced it. The change was evident at the finale, when House Speaker-in-waiting John Boehner tweeted congratulations to a litany of triumphant Republicans and fellow Twitter users.

Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin played an active role in the elections with posts on Facebook that were instant news; the 10 most popular political videos on YouTube were all Republican videos.

"There was much hand-wringing over whether the Internet was a fundamentally democratic or liberal platform for communication, versus a conservative one," says Steve Grove, the head of news and politics at YouTube. "We always felt like the reason that it was more used by Democrats was just they weren't the party in power, and parties not in power look for innovation when trying to communicate with voters in new ways."

The reverberations the Internet can have on an election cycle have been well-known at least since Howard Dean let out an unusual battle-cry during the 2004 presidential election. But 2010's election was the first where social media was virtually ubiquitous.

In 2008, Facebook had one-fifth the active members it now has. Twitter was nascent, its news value not yet realized. Location-sharing services such as Foursquare and Gowalla didn't exist or had just been created.

This year, most major candidates had a Facebook page. Election night results went directly to smart phones. And everything — the campaigns, the ads, the voting — was filtered through social media.

More than 12 million clicked Facebook's "I Voted" button on Tuesday, more than twice the 5.4 million from two years ago.

Asked if Facebook is contributing to a heightened awareness of elections, Adam Conner, associate manager for privacy and global public policy at Facebook, said that he'd "like to think that we are."

"It's important when the message comes from places like Facebook but I think it's really exciting when people's friends are telling them, `Hey, it's an election. Make sure you vote. Make sure you participate, it's important to me,'" says Conner.

Networks and news organizations sought to weave social media into their coverage. Reporters and TV anchors tweeted through the night. ABC partnered with Facebook, NBC posted video on Twitter and CBS worked with Google. The Washington Post was the first news organization to sponsor a "promoted trend" on Twitter with the hash tag "Election."

The flow of Twitter updates from selected sources was enough to usurp TV coverage for some users.

"By `tuning into' Twitter on election night, I was able to get timely updates on the races that mattered to me from people I've already decided that I trust," said Mark Rosch of New Mexico. "Social media, particularly Twitter, gave me the ability keep up with the far-flung contests I was most-interested in, as well getting more information more quickly on local races."

Foursquare encouraged users to vote by awarding a special "merit badge" to those who went to polling places. More than 50,000 of its 4 million users received it.

Facebook, Twitter, Foursquare and others used their power to get out the vote, supplying easy links for locating one's nearest polling place. That could have helped voter turnout, which was projected at 42 percent of registered voters, about 1.2 percentage points higher than the 2006 midterms.

Mindy Finn, co-founder of the online political media firm Engage, said politicians are spending less than 5 percent of their budgets on social media. She cautioned overestimating its effect.

"Do we assign impact to people talking to their friends and neighbors in the same way we assign impact to people knocking on doors and making phone calls for a particular candidate or political party or cause?" said Finn. "On a basic level, it's the same and things haven't changed. Friends are still contacting friends and neighbors are still talking to neighbors."

One of the most buzzed-about candidates of the election didn't win. Christine O'Donnell, the Tea Party candidate who ran for the Senate in Delaware, had the most-viewed politician channel on YouTube. (YouTube counted 450 candidates with official channels.)

Her campaign ad in which she began by saying, "I'm not a witch," was watched by millions. It was parodied on "Saturday Night Live," set to song in a popular "Auto-Tune the News" video and creatively co-opted by countless YouTubers with their own political messages to distribute.

Those clips, combined with the many older videos of O'Donnell that circulated widely, made her one of the most viral candidates — yet she still lost badly to Democrat Chris Coons.

Facebook claimed correlation between social media buzz and election success. It said that 74 percent of House and Senate candidates with more Facebook fans than their competitors won on Tuesday.

The social networking platform also co-hosted a town hall meeting with ABC News. The sight was telling: a room full of people on laptops gazing at a giant Facebook "buzz wall."

They were far from alone in their Internet-tethered election experience. Akamai Technologies Inc., which delivers about 20 percent of the world's Internet traffic, showed traffic peaking around 6 p.m EDT at over 5.6 million global page views a minute. That's one of Akamai's highest traffic rates in five years of measurement — even more than during President Obama's election night win in 2008.

Come two years and the next presidential election, social media is likely to be vital territory sought by Democrats and Republicans.

"In 2012, this will be a very contested battlefield," says the Pew Internet's Rainie. "It's not a sidelight to politics right now. This is a central venue."

———

Associated Press writer Leanne Italie contributed to this report.

The company's Street View mapping service unlawfully recorded data from private wireless networks.

The company's Street View mapping service unlawfully recorded data from private wireless networks.

To be sure, do it the old fashioned way: contact your local board of elections.

To be sure, do it the old fashioned way: contact your local board of elections.

Reminded of an old flame? You can reconnect in the time it takes to find the person on Facebook.

Reminded of an old flame? You can reconnect in the time it takes to find the person on Facebook.


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